The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
CASINO SALZBURG 1992 93 Home Football Shirt (XL) Soccer Jersey ADIDAS Vintage RBClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Intermediate Pressure Gauge Pro Panel Wall Mount Table Stand Scuba ServiceNEW K2 Verdict Snowboard Ski Bike Helmet White Large L\XL 59-62cm Warm Fast ShipGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) WILSON WTA05RB16CM BASEBALL CATCHERS MITT 32 RH THROWER(GOES ON LEFT HAND)since he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Hongdak Ski Goggles, Snowboard Goggles UV Predection, Snow Goggles Helmet Com...New York Yankees 2009 World Series Champions Stadium Patch Frame
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Wilson A1010S Official High School Leather Blem Baseballs (Dozen)
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Celtic FC Sherpa Fleece Blanket (TA2469)Newcastle United FC Bi Colour Spinner Ring (TA1762)Gants De Gardien De Précision Gk Elite Giga Negative size 10.5 - Precision
Thunder Snow (20-1):6X Durable Hurdles Training Speed Agility Sport Soccer Football Height 6'9'12inc This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Gitane Grand Sport Mixte Bicycle Chrome Decal Set (sku Gita-S102)
- CHROME Bicycle Double Twisted Stem 21.1mm Lowrider Beach Cruiser Chopper Bike
- Vintage front hub CAMPAGNOLO - C RECORD - 36 holes
- Shimano Stella 3000MHG Salt & Fresh All Round Model 2018
- Saltwater Guppy Mojo mold 2,4,6oz Swing Hook CNC Aluminum
- Major Craft CROSTAGE Seabass CRX-962ML Spinning Rod NEW
- Sitka CORE Mid Wt Zip-T Optifade Open Country X Large 10068-OB-XL
- Ultra light lure fishing rods Steyr spin 732 5g from Rapture of for LRF
- Shakespeare Ugly Stik Catfish Fishing Spinning Rods
- US MILITARY SEAL IBH HELMET &NIGHT VISION MOUNT SEAL INTEGRATED HELMET -MANDRAKE
- 1911, Beretta, Bersa, Browning, USA Eagle, OWB Kydex Gun Holsters
- NC Star Pistol Accessory Rail Adapter Beretta 92 MADBER
- E42 Charcoal Stove Portable Professional Camping Outdoor BBQ Barbecue Net
- Rustic American Flag Cornhole Boards
- La Sportiva Men's Futura - blue - 32
- Conbrov tm Red Skating Predective Gear Safety Pad Safeguard (Knee Elbow Wrist)..
- Coleman Model 508 Stove With Hard Carry Case - Lightly Used Condition
- Aquatic Life Compatible Reverse Osmosis Deionization RODI 10 color Indicatin...
- NEW Mizuno Men 9 Spike Vapor Pro Elite IC 0714 Low Cleat SIZE 10 Blk Gry K46
- NEWCASTLE UNITED 1997 1998 AWAY FOOTBALL SHIRT JERSEY HOME ADIDAS ALAN SHEARER
- Polished Ozark trail insulated cup 30z
- Pelican 2760 LED Headlamp Light 289 Lumens Water Resistant Batteries Included
- Circuit Board + Cover Replacement For Ninebot ES1 ES2 ES3 ES4 Electric Scooter w
- 16-17 Burton Escapade EST New Women's Snowboard Bindings Size L B76916
- EXTREME MAX (SET OF 3) 120 LBS. CAPACITY KAYAK HOIST FOR GARAGE
- GEAR 2000 GEX25 SUDDEN IMPACT FOOTBALL SHOULDER PAD 4XL
- Mens Adidas Adizero 5-Star 5.0 Football Cleats AQ7700 EQTgold TROPICAL SZ 14-NIB
- Vintage Heavy Old 2001 British Lions Rugby Shirt Extra Extra Large Xxl 2xl
- Adidas ace 16.3 leather football boots fg size 12 mens adult soccer new shoes
- shoes ALTE STIVALETTI CARRERA JEANS NEVADA_CAM721050-06NBKTaupe men SCARPONE
- E-Bike 36V 11.6Ah Batterie Pedelec Down Tube Spark M55 Voltbike Beetle FLX
- 10 Bobine du fil ROND 500 MT ø 2,2 mm 4 FILS COND. CLÔTURE électrique GEMI
- UMBRIA EQUITAZIONE set Kopfteil western pools c. Fett Zügel Brustpanzer. LK1034
- Brand 36V 250W Electric Bicycle Mountain Bike brushless Fat Tire Ebike Bicycle
- Shimano Tiagra 4700 Right Shifter (rear) 10-Speed
- HKM Riding Breeches Pasadena Denim Full Seat Made of Silicone (8210)
- Ski Pants Girls Ice Burg Snowboarding Tan Skiing Jr Youth 2 colors 10 12,14 16
- Race Face Turbine R Handlebar
- Cycling Tee Shirt Short Sleeve Giro Women'S Tech 2017 Purple Mtn Division s
- Vittoria V Epic Men’s Cycling shoes color, 8.75 D US, new with tag Made in
- Supacaz Super Pegajosa Quien Bicicleta Cinta Barra
- BIEMME RONA Quebecor World Long Sleeve Full Zip Winter Cycling Jersey Sz 2 Small
- NIKE NIKE PRO SHORT SLEEVE T-SHIRT INTIMO men 838091 010
- Patagonia Men's Rio Gallegos Zip Front Waders Large Medium NWOT
- Daiwa POWERSURF SS 3500QD Surf Casting Reel Fishing Japan New