The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
RARE PIERRE CARDIN GREY SKI MASK HAUTE COUTURE SPORTS FRANCE GOGGLES SNOWClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Giro Skihelm Snowboardhelm Seam red Thermostat X-static® leichtNew Electric EG2.5 Snowboard Ski Goggles Mapulated Bronze bluee ChromeGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) Rob Allen Scorpia Fins Size XL Long Fin Full Foot Freedive Snorkel Spearfishingsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Icebreaker BodyfitZONE 260 Zone Men's Baselayer - Midnight Navy Prussian blueeDivision 23 Enforcer Pro Series Gundam snowboard 153 cm with Heelside bindings
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.FCS II SA Simon Anderson Surfboard 3 Fin Set Performance Core Medium - Brand New
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
Burton Mission Smalls Flex Kinder Snowboardbindung Snowboard Bindung blue 2018JOHN EALES Hand Signed 8'x10' PhotoPremium Rev-Changer Cobra blueeJean Bowling Wrist Supports Head Left Hand_EC
Thunder Snow (20-1):NEW FCS II AM Performance Core PC Twin Fin Set + 1 Mini Stabilizer Fin - X-Large This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- Tru-Tension Chain Monkey Tensioner Kawasaki KFX 400 (KSF400A) (2003-2006)
- Legit Design Wild Side WSS59L lure0.9-7g line2-5lb bass spinning rod from Japan
- shoes DMT R3 yellow FLUO black size 42.5
- NIKE AIR MAX 1 SE white
- Big Game 15' Two Men Ladder Hunting Tree Stand 2 Seat Ladderstand TMA Certified
- HK P2000 Zombie Green Kydex OWB Outside Waistband Holster Veteran Made USA
- Predector (guard) de codo MTB - Par Dainese 2017 Trail Skins 2 black
- 15 KeyMod Free Float Handguard, Aluminum 1pc, Forend Rail w Barrel Nut
- ABU GARCIA REEL PART - 975077 5624 Ambassadeur 6000 - Spool Complete
- Kids Helmet Adjustable from Toddler to Youth SizeAges 3 to 8 Years Old Boys G...
- Leupold Euro-30 Rifle Scope 30mm Tube 1.25-4x 20mm Duplex Reticle Matte
- Kysek Rover Soft Bag Grey Ice Chest 20 Liter
- Pop-Up Canopy 10 ft. x 10 ft. Adjustable Height Straight Leg Metal Frame
- Oboz Womens Sawtooth Low BDRY Waterproof shoes
- HAMM'S beer CALENDAR WALL SIGN COMPLETE