The 143rd Kentucky Derby is May 6th at Churchill Downs in Kentucky and a 70% chance of rain is in the forecast. Finding a good mudder in this group of 20 is nearly impossible. We thank Mike Battaglia, the odds maker at Churchill Downs, for giving us a morning line favorite at 4-1, Classic Empire, but come race day his odds will plummet from that enticing 4-1.
Mudders with potential:
Hammer Men's Knight Performance Bowling Shirt Long Sleeve Heather RedClassic Empire (4-1): Broke his maiden on a wet surface at Churchill Downs in 2016. Veteran rider Julien Leparoux has been aboard for all of Classic Empire’s starts.
Tapwrit (20-1): Also broke his maiden over a wet surface. My concern with Tapwrit is that his head is not in the game. He’s worth at look in a superfecta at this price and on Derby Day.
Adidas Referee 18 de manga larga camiseta yellowLotto Tacto 500 III Ic Salle blue greenGormley (15-1): Also has a win on a wet surface in California, but a wet surface in Southern California is very different than a wet surface in Kentucky. The only advantage for Gormley is his veteran jockey, Victor Espinoza. Gormley races well in California but the ship to Kentucky is a mystery.
Battle of Midway (30-1): Another California shipper who broke his maiden on a wet Santa Anita surface. Finished second behind Gormley in the Santa Anita Derby, has always been in the money in all of his four races. In a very scattered Derby, this horse deserves a look, especially at this price.
The Real Deals:
Classic Empire has been on my radar (and everyone else’s) MagiDeal 6ft Scuba Diving Signal Surface Marker Buoy SMB Sausage - pink Redsince he won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile. He’s kind of a sassy horse. He’s been known to train when he feels like it, but certainly shows up for the race. With his veteran jockey, consistent money finishes on his resume, and can run on a wet surface, Classic Empire lands on the top of my list. Besides all that, he’s American Pharaoh’s little brother. So the pedigree is perfect.
Personalized Girls Ladies Figure Skating Ice Skating Garment bagNew 45 Coleman River Tube No. 5998-518
McCracken (5-1): McCracken finished third in his last race behind Practical Joke and Irap in the Bluegrass, but again, he didn’t need to win because he was already in with his win in the Sam F. Davis Stakes. Until the Bluegrass, McCracken was undefeated, and veteran jockey Brian Hernandez, Jr. has been with him from the first race.Umbro Sv Werder Brême Tissé Courte black Fgtq
Filling out the Superfecta:
Always Dreaming (5-1): Three wins in a row for Always Dreaming since veteran jock Johnny Velazquez took over, but only one graded stakes win, the Florida Derby, which he needed to get to Churchill Downs. A veteran rider, but little graded stakes experience and no races on a wet track. However, he’s been training well at Churchill and has put in some impressive bullet works since he arrived.
XS Scuba DIN Filler AdapterBRP Sea Doo Wetsuit Stallion Short Ultra Stretch Flex Women's Size 11 12 NWTVintage Heierling Laser Snow Ski Boots TWS Size 9.5 M Used White
Thunder Snow (20-1):Airhole Luftrohr At2 ergo Polar Fleece Gesichtsmaske black - Snowboard & Ski This is the European entry. Entering the gates as a multiple graded stakes winner in Europe with extremely impressing speed figures, but has no American racing experience and has ran most of his races at sprint distances. The check mark on this horse goes to the connections and that the fields in Europe are bigger than they are here. The UAE Derby, which Thunder Snow won, had 15 entries. He will not be shy of the 20 in the gate.
State of Honor (30-1): I wanted to make this horse my superfecta filler, but he has one knock: His jockey, Jose Lezcano. Julien Leparoux has been on State of Honor for his last four races, which were stakes races, and in which State of Honor finished on the board all four times. But, Leparoux is also the jockey for Classic Empire. (What a choice?) This Mark Casse trainee gets a definite look and will be taking superfecta money come post time.
Practical Joke (20-1) was doing fine until he got into races with the other Derby contenders then he couldn’t seem to get around Gunnevera, Classic Empire or Irap. He has no wet surface races, doesn’t like the distance or the crowds.
- BURRIS ANTI-REFLECTION DEVICE FOR RIFLE-536
- Lee .45 Colt 45 Long Colt Carbide 3 Die Set Lee 90514
- Red Dot Scope Holographic Reflex Sight 20mm Rail Tactical Hunting Rifle 2 colors
- RARE NIW OG MIKEN MV3 MV3MU 34 26 SUPERMAX SERIAL SOFTBALL BAT HOT
- A21 bluee Outdoor Waterproof Marquee Tent Shade Camping Hiking 2.5X1.56M Z
- Segway CU Board Control Board
- Snugpak Softie Elite 5 Sleeping Bag
- 60 Recurve Bows Target Shooting for Right Left Handed Shooter ILF Youth Archery
- U-2-42 42x1 1 2 3D BROWN MENS WESTERN FASHION FLORAL LEATHER BELT REMOVABLE BUC
- ARMANI EXCHANGE A X BASEBALL EAGLE HAT ONE SIZE BRAND NEW AUTENTIC
- Coleman North Rim Adult Mummy Sleeping Bag
- Hammer Men's Poison Performance Crew Jersey Bowling Shirt Dri-Fit Royal bluee
- Aluminum Alloy Compound Archery Compound Bow Stabilizer Balance Bar Target
- VidaXL Flash Bridle with Reins and Bit Leather Brown Pony
- 2-rider raft and 3 life vest
- Vintage MAXPRO ALL AMERICAN Football Helmet Model 2001 WHITE SZ ADULT L USA MADE
- THE ORIGINAL Tribord Subea Easybreath® Limited Edition, size M L, PINK SUBCORAL
- Baseball Bases Heavy Duty Vinyl 15'' Throw Down Base Official Set Equipment Play
- Brunotti Skihose Schneehose Winterhose Ligano black atmungsaktiv
- Polar V650 GPS Cycling Computer
- LOT 7 26 Wheel Lot Front and Rear Alloy 36 Spoke Count 1g
- Diadora Maracana Soccer Cleats - Men's Size 7 bluee
- NIKE HYPERVENOM PHATAL II FG SOCCER CLEATS SIZE 11.5 BRAND NEW (749893-550)
- Dexter Raquel IV White Sky bluee Womens Bowling shoes size 8 (W)
- Siège-auto vélo Bobike one maxi arrière bahama blue SEG56BB Bobike bambi
- SUPER B Cart 3 drawers + tools Super B TB-98800
- NOS ITM MILLENNIUM SUPER OVER AHEAD STEM 110mm 1+1 8 31.8mm THREADLESS VINTAGE
- C-H-78 78 HILASON 1200D RIPSTOP TURNOUT WINTER HORSE SHEET PATRIOTIC US FLAG
- Radial spoked front Wheel with Mavic Open SUP CD clincher rim and Mavic 501 hub
- Cassetta pignoni sram rival 22 powerglide pg-1130 11v 11-28 SRAM cassetta pignon
- Killer Baits Rusty Jessee Heddon Baby Fly Killer in bluee Hornet in Wood Box
- Red Nose Ripstop BJJ, MMA Grappling Shorts
- Women's Bike Clothing Long Sleeve Cycle Jersey and Padded (Bib) Pants Tight Kit
- FSA 3-D Forged Al2014 Bike Stem
- Rod Baitcast Poseidon High Pitch Jerker PHPJ 504 Evergreen
- FREE SHIPPING JS COMPANY NIXX INSHORE S-802H FOR SPINNING REEL
- CASCO LIMAR AIR MASTER BIANCO OPACO yellow
- ADIDAS PUREBOOST MEN'S RUNNERS. - SIZE 10.5 USA. NEW .
- Deps SLIDE SWIMMER 175 SS Slow Sinking Shudder Tail (Limited color) D108
- Cando No-latex 50-yard Yellow X-light Exercise Band
- Gill Uv Tec L S T-Shirt , color White (C1628w)
- PARATURA PÊCHE À LA TRAÎNE À LA MAIN EN BATEAU CONARTIFICIALE TIPO RAPALA 14CM
- Mepps 500676 Mepps Basser Kit - Dressed Aglia Assortment - 1 Each
- 16 Inch Australian Hornless Brisbane Trail Saddle Dark Oil
- 2012 DEMARINI CF5 33 23 (-10) FASTPITCH SOFTBALL BAT Outstanding Share